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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Stocks A to Z / Stocks B / Berkshire Hathaway (BRK.A)
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Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 21939 
Subject: Re: Bogle , back to the real world,
Date: 01/12/26 12:31 PM
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This is an interesting assertion, but I'm not sure it could be true. First off, do we agree that larger companies tend to remain in business more than smaller companies do?

In a word, no : )

First, it's probably better to look at average returns, including blowups, rather than just blowups.

Yes, extreme microcaps can be pretty fragile, and indeed hard to examine as the notion of "current price" starts to become Heisenbergian.

But outside of those, average performance is mostly independent of company size. (There used to be a consensus that small caps did better, but as mentioned that may have been a misreading of the data). The biggest effect is that the very largest very few are, other than during certain gigacap bull markets, remarkably poor performers through the decades.

This might seem counterintuitive, but it arises mainly from the observation that (a) there is a price for everything, and (b) there is no such thing as a persistent free lunch. Weak small firms have low stock prices and low market caps, just low enough that on average there isn't a persistent underperformance, nor outperformance, n average through the years. If they did worse on average over time, people would catch on and the prices would be even lower. And vice versa.

Jim
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This community has written 21,448 posts about Berkshire Hathaway. The article-length ones it recommended most:
BRK: Why Not XOM? · 62 recs · 2024
Second quarter comments · 60 recs · 2023
Berkshire's Profit Contributors · 57 recs · 2023
Summary of 2Q 2026 · 54 recs · 2026
3Q Summary · 53 recs · 2024
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