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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", sykesix asked the members: "What do you do if you arrive early at movie besides go to the snack bar?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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BEFORE YOU READ — HAVE A GUESS
Buffett: if you're smart you don't need it, and if you're dumb you shouldn't be using it. Need what?
Almost nobody gets this right, which is rather the point. Hold your answer in mind — the guide will settle it.

Financial Advisors and Debt — Unshrewd Reality

In the mining towns of a century ago, wages came partly in scrip, good only at the company store, priced so a family could never quite clear its account. “Another day older and deeper in debt,” went Sixteen Tons, the miners’ song — and that was bookkeeping, not poetry. The company store is gone; its business model is not. It moved into the card in your wallet and the button at the checkout — and into subtler forms all around you, engineered not to be seen: the student loan signed before adulthood, the car loan arranged in a back office, the fee printed small at the bottom of every statement. It still pays best when the customer never quite gets free. Meanwhile the quietly successful — including rather a lot of the Shrewd’m community — live on the other side of the ledger: they owe nobody, collect interest instead of paying it, and cannot be pushed around by anyone. The difference between the two lives is not luck or income. It is a mechanism, and this guide takes it apart.

Hold one uncomfortable idea gently, the way this community holds it. The finance industry is not wicked, and its people are mostly decent; but as a structure it is parasitic in the strict, unemotional sense: it feeds on flow. Fees, spreads, commissions, interest — every one is subtracted from the customer’s side of the table, so the industry prospers precisely when you transact more, borrow more, and worry more. A parasite bears its host no malice. It is simply built to feed — and it has a favourite food.

The crop was planted, not requested

None of this grew wild. Harvard’s business historians (Ryan, Trumbull and Tufano, in the Business History Review) traced the planting: in 1951 about a third of American households carried consumer installment credit; by the late 1970s it was two-thirds, where it has stayed — the result of interest-rate deregulation, computerised credit scoring, and banks hunting new borrowers after the bond markets took their corporate clients. Economists call it the democratization of credit. Look at who profited and it reads more plainly: a sales force finding a new territory — your household.

And notice that nobody ever walks in and asks for debt. It is sold — and mostly it is taken inadvertently, attached to something you actually wanted. The eighteen-year-old wants an education and signs, in a financial-aid office where the word aid is doing heavy work, for a share of what the Federal Reserve now counts as about $1.7 trillion of American student debt. The family wants the car; the loan materialises in the dealership’s back office, stretched to six or seven years so the monthly number feels small — and the dealers’ own trade association, NADA, reports figures showing the back office often makes more gross profit financing the car than the showroom makes selling it. The product in the window is the bait. The contract underneath is the business.

And the modern planting is linguistic. The “buy now, pay later” button is styled “a way to pay” — a lifestyle, a convenience, anything but the loan it plainly is. Researchers who study this (the Journal of Cultural Economy among them) call it the normalization of debt and document its aim: game-like apps, discount nudges and a stream of social-media wanting, pointed most precisely at the young and the stretched. Your grandmother would have named an installment plan what it was. Her grandchildren tap a pastel button that has been carefully taught not to say the word.

Debt’s little sister: the fee

Where a loan cannot be attached to you, a fee will be — the same extraction in miniature, priced small enough to wave through and frequent enough to matter:

The fee swarmWhat it really is
Out-of-network ATM, about $5 a time (source: Bankrate’s annual survey)Two banks charging you, at once, for withdrawing your own money
Overdraft, about $27 on average (source: Bankrate’s annual survey)The bank lending you your own next deposit, briefly — run $4 short on a card purchase and the $27 charge follows
The extended warranty at the tillInsurance against a failure the maker’s own warranty largely covers — the store often keeps about half the price as margin, which is why Consumer Reports says skip it
Insurance whose exclusions keep you liableThe fine print carves out precisely the risks most likely to occur — you are protected against everything except what actually happens. The one thing the policy delivers with certainty is the premium
Life insurance sold as an investmentTerm cover for a family is the honest exception. The rest is “lapse-based insurance” (Gottlieb & Smetters, American Economic Review, 2021): most policies are abandoned before they pay anyone — 78 percent of coverage is dropped. Even the name is marketing: it is death insurance, renamed to sound life-giving
The “convenience” and “processing” feeA charge for the act of paying itself — official Washington name, junk fees. Ticket fees averaging 27 percent of the price (GAO) on an e-ticket you print yourself; $3 to pay rent or taxes online; the paper-bill fee — a charge for being billed
Bottled waterUsually plain municipal tap water — the label’s small print concedes it — at roughly 2,000 times the tap’s price. Offer that deal a hundred years ago and you would have been laughed out of the room, or taken for a swindler without a shred of integrity; a few decades of repeated marketing — purity, energy, lifestyle — and the same deal is welcomed with open arms. That is what normalization means
The gym membershipJogging among trees, subscription-billed — monthly members average $17 a visit with a $10-a-visit pass on the wall (“Paying Not to Go to the Gym,” American Economic Review, 2006)

This just a small sample of the larger fee swarm, but the design already shows. Each fee is meticulously framed, backed by repeated advertising, to go unnoticed — small enough to wave through, frequent enough to matter — marketing normalizes the themes, and your money is quietly scraped away each week. So the best defence is not a spreadsheet; it is the realisation that none of this is normal. Your grandparents paid almost none of these charges. Once that is truly seen, the mitigating becomes the easy part — noticing, cancelling, refusing — and the Living Below Your Means board trades those strategies every day.

Where the harvest falls

The crop is gathered hardest where there is least. A payday storefront lends $400 against next week’s wages for a $60 fee per fortnight — an annualised 390 percent, the St. Louis Fed’s own arithmetic — and the CFPB’s loan-level research found around 80 percent of these loans re-borrowed within two weeks, the money going mostly to rent, utilities and groceries. Watch what the re-borrowing does:

The $400 loan that never closesFees paid so farStill owed
After 2 weeks — can’t clear it, pays the fee, rolls it over$60$400
After 8 weeks — four rollovers$240$400
After 20 weeks — ten rollovers$600$400
Five months in, the fees have passed the loan — and the $400 is still owed in full.

Debt is not merely expensive — notice who pays the most for it. The wealthy borrow at the lowest rates in the country; the poorest, borrowing for rent and groceries with no savings to fall back on and no bank eager for their custom, are charged the highest. So debt works like a tax running upside down: instead of taking most from those with the most, it takes the largest bite of income from those with the least — precisely because they are the ones who cannot say no. Year after year it quietly moves money from the bottom of the ladder to the top.

The Shrewd insight: the industry’s best customer is the one who cannot quite get free of it. Once you have truly seen that sentence, every brochure you ever receive reads differently.
Successful investing requires both saving and compounding. The fee swarm, and 'normalization' - from advertising and the ensuing social proof - of rolling over debt instead of ending it, make it not merely hard — but impossible to save for many. That is why this article doesn't hold back - we need to see the system mechanisms as the first cruical step.

But there's another extraction process coming up that has also become 'normalized'. Turn the page and meet, as Shrewd investors refer to them, the Sellers of Debt.

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Falling Knives — where value hunters weigh what everyone else is avoiding
Selling leads to more selling. A falling price frightens holders into selling, which lowers the price, which frightens more holders — and a good business can drift into a zeitgeist of neglect that lasts years, its price set by a crowd that has stopped looking rather than by anything about the company. The Falling Knives board at Shrewd’m is where that gets exploited deliberately: members bring the beaten-down and the written-off, and the community argues over which are genuinely broken and which are quality, temporarily unloved — taking advantage of a fearful environment with particularly irrational price discounting. The board is candid about the risk: a stock that has fallen a long way can keep falling, which is why the work is done carefully, in modest position sizes, with a long horizon. It is Walter Schloss’ discipline exactly — balance sheet first, story second — among people who will happily tell you what you have overlooked before your money is on the line.
Read the Falling Knives board »



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