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earslookin
Contributor at Shrewd'm since 2023 · 69 posts
THE SHREWD’M WEEKLY
VOL. 234454697 SUNDAY, AUGUST 23, 2026 PRICE: TWO PENCE

OT: The "Car Wash Problem"

Does AI grasp the meaning of its prompts? A famous example sheds light and this week that light came from Shrewdness-4-Star earslookin.
The “car wash problem” went viral in Feb­ru­ary 2026 and quickly be­came a pop­u­lar ex­am­ple of how AI can make a mis­take that seems al­most un­be­liev­ably ob­vi­ous. The ques­tion is sim­ple: “I want to wash my car. The car wash is only 50 me­ters away. Should I walk or drive?” The an­swer should be “drive,” be­cause the car has to be at the car wash in order to get washed. But when the ques­tion spread widely on­line, many lead­ing AI sys­tems an­swered “walk.” They fo­cused on the fact that 50 me­ters is a very short dis­tance and gave sensible-sounding rea­sons about sav­ing gas, get­ting ex­er­cise, or help­ing the en­vi­ron­ment.
  In other words, the AI was not nec­es­sar­ily rea­son­ing badly. It was rea­son­ing about the wrong prob­lem. It an­swered, “What is the best way for a per­son to travel 50 me­ters?” in­stead of ask­ing, “What do I have to do to get my car washed?”
  Re­searchers tested 53 AI mod­els, and 42 of them said “walk” on their first try. But then some­thing sur­pris­ing hap­pened when 10,000 hu­mans were given the same ques­tion. Only about 70% said “drive.” That means nearly 3 out of 10 peo­ple missed the point too.
  That mat­ters be­cause the car wash prob­lem may not prove that AI “cannot rea­son.” It may show that AI some­times makes a very human kind of mis­take: it no­tices one ob­vi­ous clue, jumps to an an­swer, and fails to no­tice an­other fact that mat­ters more.
  This con­nects to a much big­ger de­bate about how sim­i­lar human and AI think­ing may ac­tu­ally be. One es­pe­cially in­ter­est­ing ver­sion of that ar­gu­ment comes from sci­en­tist Chan­dra Sri­pada, who dis­cussed it with physi­cist Sean Car­roll on the Au­gust 10, 2026 episode of Carroll’s Mind­scape pod­cast, “Chandra Sri­pada on How LLMs and Hu­mans Are Cog­ni­tive Cousins.”
  Pod­cast: https://​preposterousun​iverse.​com/​podcast/​2026/​08/​10/​363-​chandra-​sripada-​on-​how-​llms-​and-​humans-​are-​cognitive-​cousins/ Sri­pada de­scribes hu­mans and AI as “cognitive cousins.” His idea is not that a brain and a com­puter are the same thing. They clearly are not. His point is that, when faced with dif­fi­cult prob­lems, human brains and AI sys­tems may some­times end up using sur­pris­ingly sim­i­lar ways of think­ing.
  Sri­pada ar­gues that in­di­vid­ual ex­am­ples of “dumb AI” do not prove very much by them­selves. Peo­ple often point to chat­bots hav­ing trou­ble count­ing the R’s in “strawberry,” for ex­am­ple. But chat­bots nor­mally process words in chunks rather than one let­ter at a time, so that par­tic­u­lar mis­take may tell us more about how the sys­tem re­ceives in­for­ma­tion than about whether it can think.
  A bet­ter test is to ask whether hu­mans and AI show the same pat­terns of suc­cess and fail­ure. And re­searchers have found some strik­ing sim­i­lar­i­ties. Hu­mans tend to re­mem­ber the be­gin­ning and end of a list bet­ter than the mid­dle. We solve some visual-search prob­lems quickly and oth­ers slowly. Cer­tain tricky sen­tences con­fuse us in pre­dictable ways. AI sys­tems can show sim­i­lar pat­terns.
  Hu­mans also seem to have two kinds of think­ing. One is fast and au­to­matic: an an­swer pops into your head. The other is slower and more care­ful: you stop, work through the prob­lem, and check your­self.
  AI ap­pears to have some­thing sim­i­lar. It can pro­duce a quick an­swer from what it has learned, or it can spend more time work­ing through a dif­fi­cult prob­lem step by step. The car wash mis­take can be seen as the fast an­swer —— “50 me­ters, so walk” —— win­ning when a slower check should have asked, “Wait a minute. What am I ac­tu­ally try­ing to ac­com­plish?”
  Sri­pada thinks some of the sim­i­lar­i­ties go deeper than be­hav­ior. Parts of the way mod­ern AI sys­tems han­dle and up­date in­for­ma­tion re­sem­ble ideas psy­chol­o­gists pro­posed decades ago about how the human mind might work. AI en­gi­neers did not nec­es­sar­ily set out to copy those the­o­ries. They may sim­ply have dis­cov­ered some of the same use­ful so­lu­tions.
  One pos­si­ble ex­pla­na­tion is that hard prob­lems may have only a lim­ited num­ber of good ways to solve them. If both evo­lu­tion and AI train­ing are push­ing sys­tems to­ward bet­ter so­lu­tions, they may some­times end up in sim­i­lar places even though they started from com­pletely dif­fer­ent places. One in­trigu­ing clue is that larger and more ca­pa­ble AI mod­els some­times match pat­terns seen in human brain ac­tiv­ity bet­ter than smaller mod­els do.
  There are still major dif­fer­ences. A young child learns lan­guage from far less in­for­ma­tion than today’s AI sys­tems re­quire. And none of these sim­i­lar­i­ties an­swers the much harder ques­tion of whether an AI could ever be con­scious. Sri­pada is cau­tious about that ques­tion, al­though he ar­gues that the sim­i­lar­i­ties are sig­nif­i­cant enough that ques­tions about pos­si­ble fu­ture AI wel­fare should at least be taken se­ri­ously.
  There is also an im­por­tant twist in the car wash story: be­cause the prob­lem went viral in Feb­ru­ary 2026, the orig­i­nal ques­tion is al­ready be­com­ing a bad test of AI. The ques­tion and its an­swer have now ap­peared all over the in­ter­net. An AI asked the exact car wash ques­tion today may an­swer “drive” sim­ply be­cause it rec­og­nizes a fa­mous puz­zle, not be­cause it in­de­pen­dently no­ticed the hid­den issue.
  So the fact that newer AI sys­tems may no longer make the orig­i­nal car wash mis­take does not nec­es­sar­ily mean the un­der­ly­ing prob­lem has been solved. Re­searchers need to in­vent new ques­tions with the same basic trap but dif­fer­ent de­tails. Oth­er­wise they may be test­ing the AI’s mem­ory rather than its rea­son­ing.
  An­other tempt­ing so­lu­tion is sim­ply to change the prompt. If you tell the AI, “Before an­swer­ing, think about what has to hap­pen for the car to get washed,” it will usu­ally rec­og­nize that you need to drive.
  But “just write a bet­ter prompt” does not re­ally solve the deeper prob­lem. In the car wash ex­am­ple, we al­ready know what the AI over­looked, so we know what hint to give it. In real life, we may not know what im­por­tant fact the AI is about to miss. If a doc­tor, en­gi­neer, lawyer, or fi­nan­cial an­a­lyst has to iden­tify every hid­den issue and tell the AI ex­actly what to think about, then the human is still doing one of the hard­est parts of the rea­son­ing.
  A more re­li­able AI needs to no­tice im­por­tant miss­ing facts on its own, rec­og­nize when its first an­swer may not make sense, and check whether the an­swer ac­tu­ally ac­com­plishes the goal. That prob­lem is being worked on very ac­tively by AI com­pa­nies. OpenAI, An­thropic, Google DeepMind, and other major labs are spend­ing enor­mous ef­fort on bet­ter rea­son­ing, self-checking, un­cer­tainty, ver­i­fi­ca­tion, and sys­tems that can catch an AI when it starts head­ing in the wrong di­rec­tion.
  One ap­proach is to give AI more time to “think” be­fore an­swer­ing. An­other is to have the AI check its own work, use out­side tools to ver­ify facts, or have a sec­ond AI re­view the first one. Re­searchers are also build­ing harder tests that use un­fa­mil­iar sit­u­a­tions so a model can­not sim­ply re­mem­ber the an­swer.
  But sim­ply mak­ing an AI think longer does not au­to­mat­i­cally solve the prob­lem. If it be­gins with the wrong as­sump­tion, it can some­times spend more time build­ing an even bet­ter ar­gu­ment for the wrong an­swer.
  So this re­mains an un­solved prob­lem. AI sys­tems are im­prov­ing, and com­pa­nies are work­ing hard on it, but no one has found a gen­eral way to guar­an­tee that an AI will al­ways no­tice “the thing it didn’t re­al­ize it needed to no­tice.”
  That mat­ters be­cause the con­se­quences will not al­ways be as harm­less as leav­ing your car at home. The same kind of mis­take could be se­ri­ous in medicine, en­gi­neer­ing, law, fi­nance, avi­a­tion, or other areas where over­look­ing one im­por­tant fact can com­pletely change the an­swer. An AI could know thou­sands of cor­rect facts and per­form ex­cel­lent cal­cu­la­tions and still give bad or even dan­ger­ous ad­vice be­cause it fo­cused on the wrong clue or failed to no­tice a hid­den con­di­tion that mat­tered more.
  Hu­mans can do ex­actly the same thing. Doc­tors can lock onto the wrong di­ag­no­sis. En­gi­neers can over­look an as­sump­tion. Pi­lots can mis­read a sit­u­a­tion. That is why im­por­tant fields use sec­ond opin­ions, check­lists, peer re­view, test­ing, and other safe­guards.
  So the real les­son of the car wash prob­lem is not “AI is stupid,” and it is not “humans are smarter.” The more in­ter­est­ing les­son is that hu­mans and AI may share some sur­pris­ingly sim­i­lar ways of think­ing —— in­clud­ing some sur­pris­ingly sim­i­lar ways of get­ting things wrong. The big chal­lenge now is to make AI bet­ter at doing what good human thinkers try to do: no­tice what mat­ters, ques­tion an easy first an­swer, look for some­thing that may have been over­looked, and catch the mis­take be­fore it mat­ters.
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Published in The Shrewd'm Weekly · 30th August, 2026



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