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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Personal Finance / Retirement Investing
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Author: AdrianC ⎊✹  😊 😞
Number: of 1281 
Subject: Re: 100% Stocks
Date: 10/31/25 2:56 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 2
5.17% WR, 100% stocks:

FIRECalc looked at the 125 possible 30 year periods in the available data, starting with a portfolio of $2,500,000 and spending your specified amounts each year thereafter.

Here is how your portfolio would have fared in each of the 125 cycles. The lowest and highest portfolio balance at the end of your retirement was $-7,741,259 to $16,533,295, with an average at the end of $4,190,156. (Note: this is looking at all the possible periods; values are in terms of the dollars as of the beginning of the retirement period for each cycle.)

For our purposes, failure means the portfolio was depleted before the end of the 30 years. FIRECalc found that 33 cycles failed, for a success rate of 73.6%.

firecalc.com: FIRECalc Results 3.0
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This community has written 1,207 posts about Retirement Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
The Case for Long-Term Buy and Hold Investing · 49 recs · 2025
Transferring assets to the next generation · 20 recs · 2025
Retirement Year 8 · 17 recs · 2025
(nearly) year one of retirement has been good · 11 recs · 2026
Buying Treasuries Via Vanguard · 10 recs · 2023
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