Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of RIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of RIBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Personal Finance / Retirement Investing
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (22) |
Author: rayvt 🐝  😊 😞
Number: of 1281 
Subject: Re: Yale Finance Prof. advises 100% stock
Date: 04/01/26 10:32 AM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 1
"what are some signals or indicators you’d be looking at to tell whether the downturn might have bottomed?"

rvt: "Generally, The current price of S&P500 going above the 43 week SMA."
...
"In this specific circumstance, when the situation in IRAQ is over."


Maybe Monday 3/30/2026 was the bottom. (???? Maybe so, maybe not.)


Looks to me that the main trigger for this recent drop was the Iran situation. Down on not-so-good news, up up up on good news.
The Dow doesn't go up 1100 points in a day for no reason. It is straining at the leash.
Looks to me that the market wants to go up but Iran is weighing it down. BWDIK?


Just looking at the price action, this reminds me of what happened several years ago, I think in an October(?), we were on a long cruise. I looked at the news (NYT web site was free access on the cruise) and said to myself, "That's it. This is the bottom." We got off the cruise a couple of weeks later and sure enough, that was the bottom.
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to rayvt here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 1,207 posts about Retirement Investing. The article-length ones it recommended most:
The Case for Long-Term Buy and Hold Investing · 49 recs · 2025
Transferring assets to the next generation · 20 recs · 2025
Retirement Year 8 · 17 recs · 2025
(nearly) year one of retirement has been good · 11 recs · 2026
Buying Treasuries Via Vanguard · 10 recs · 2023
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (22) |


Announcements
Retirement Investing FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of RI | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community