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The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: mapg x2  😊 😞
Number: of 6131 
Subject: Modern Family July-2025 EOM
Date: 07/31/25 8:08 PM
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No. of Recommendations: 9
      Name               SP500        R200       R800       R2000    Transportation    Retail   Regional Bank   BioTech   SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY
IWL IWR IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25 31-Jul-25
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 07-May-25 07-May-25 08-May-25 14-May-25 14-May-25 08-May-25 08-May-25 28-Jul-25 08-May-25
Since_ChgD 85 85 84 78 78 84 84 3 84
Confirmed Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(50-DMA) 11.5% 12.1% 10.1% 10.9% 10.6% 14.8% 10.3% 3.6% 29.5%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Support
ROC(200-DMA) 10.4% 11.4% 8.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.7% 17.8% -4.3% 2.6%
DMAC(50,200) 3.7% 4.1% 2.4% -0.5% 0.0% 2.6% -0.6% -3.5% 9.9%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
LastD_Price 631.93 156.86 93.71 219.42 68.02 78.46 60.06 132.76 288.78
50-DMA 609.90 150.85 91.47 214.96 68.12 78.27 59.63 127.95 268.97
200-DMA 587.95 144.96 89.36 216.14 68.12 76.28 59.96 132.52 244.66
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
# Signals /Yr 2 2 2 2 6 4 2 6 6
# BuyD /Yr 219 221 203 191 184 202 203 119 190
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 33 31 49 61 68 50 49 133 62
% BuyD /Yr 87% 88% 81% 76% 73% 80% 81% 47% 75%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 496.48 122.36 74.88 174.82 55.22 62.11 48.81 112.02 179.95
52wH(Daily) 637.10 157.79 95.52 242.40 75.40 84.31 68.90 149.47 296.26
% Off_52wH NH NH 1.9% 10.5% 10.8% 7.5% 14.7% 12.6% NH
LastD_52wH 25-Jul-25 28-Jul-25 25-Nov-24 25-Nov-24 25-Nov-24 11-Dec-24 25-Nov-24 19-Sep-24 29-Jul-25
SinceD_52wH 6 3 248 248 248 232 248 315 2
CountD_52wH 32 38 17 5 5 5 5 2 6
--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases - Rev 27-Sep-2024 Intermediate-Term 50-DMA and/or 200-DMA.
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish".
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending).
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
FYI: Historic - Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
--- ---

GD_
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