FC... Things have been pretty horrible from most LT Indicator type standpoint - since early Feb actually.
I am with you - cant afford to lose a lot of my savings so I am defensive.

Except my point was the 200DMA is not the "best" exit transition pointer. Also it hasnt signaled yet ( my weekly version).

Hopefully these help in illustrating my thought process:

Golden-Death Weekly :
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/ta4pctchg91tr9lhf9v...

A shorter and faster one : Jaws been closing fast
https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/csyijw5x3ish643a6bf...

And a LT BEar one I built and track: It has crossed the white "Warning zone" and it would be the 2nd time this Bullish cycle. ( The count matters)
and whenever it crosses the Red - it has invariably resulted in a Bear ( 20%+ drop) ...but its late . The small red triangles are for Slope/Turn change ( very very early)

https://www.dropbox.com/scl/fi/jf098qks6l70dla5n3a...

Best

Mechanical Investing FAQ

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