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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: elann 🐝 GOLD
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Number: of 3953 
Subject: Re: Bearish signal
Date: 03/08/2025 3:34 PM
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The issue of course is that if 200MA (which is a Statistical slope change indicator)

The 200DMA that crossed this week is not a slope change indicator. The slope change appears much later, and sometimes never.
For example, there was a bearish 200DMA crossover near the end of January 2022, but the slop of the 200DMA turned negative about three months later, and THAT was a pretty good exit signal. BTW, it triggered about a month before the DBE signal triggered, and that month made a huge difference in the end result. Also, there was a bearish crossover in October 2023, which turned out to be a total head fake. And guess what, the 200DMA slope never went negative at that time.

Either way - this is not the week to run for cover. Wait it out!

Of course. But it got our attention. A good time to brush up on your signals, if that's your inclination, and pay closer attention from here on.

Elan
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