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Investment Strategies / Mechanical Investing
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Author: FlyingCircus   😊 😞
Number: of 3958 
Subject: Re: BCC, CNN, PC etc.
Date: 03/11/2024 9:52 PM
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Said - first, I encourage you to check out the Timing Methods on the FAQ wiki I set up:
http://mechinvesting.wikidot.com/
specifically - http://mechinvesting.wikidot.com/timing-methods

Some details on my other signals I follow, mostly posited years ago starting when the BearCatchers got developed:

https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=174463102
Putting it together - https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=47200751
Additional context: https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=733981565
You're right on DBE/99d being slow, but understand it was designed for defense - to reduce losses in long (and slower developing) bear markets, not increase CAGR. https://www.shrewdm.com/MB?pid=679465223

And the benefit of these other signals beyond playing defense (allocation to equities) is limited at the macro level, as I mentioned in this post last fall:
With the exception of the extremes; the most pessimistic negative environments have recently been a great contrarian "buy" opportunity, and the most optimistic positive go environments have recently been a good equity exposure reduction / take some "off the table" opportunity.

So understand what I'm pointing you toward are some pretty noisy tuning knobs, or blunt instruments - just for reference & your choice-making - and all to be used in concert, not individually.

FC
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