No. of Recommendations: 1
Considering the last 20 years of european stock valuations, trend, adjusting for reinvested divis, inflation, and growth.
There have been major valuation collapses in Euro indices 3 times in the last 20 years (2009, 2012, 2020).
Were equivalent lows to be reached once more, it would be equivalent to roughly a -45% to -50% fall from the current level of the indices.
If you buy this ETF, it would be reasonable to expect that sometime in the next 7 years, you'll see a 40 to 50% dump from wherever it has reached.
Probably closer to -40% given that equal weight ETFs tend to be less exposed to fluff and hype.
If I had to guess 'when in the next 7 years', I might look at things like Trump, AI mania, US valuations, etc.
'perhaps sooner rather than later'?
TRS