Hi, Shrewd!        Login  
Shrewd'm.com 
A merry & shrewd investing community
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd
Search
Shrewd'm.com Merry shrewd investors
Search
Best Of FKBest OfAll BoardsThe Shrewd’m WeeklyLearn to InvestHow to Become Shrewd


The week's question
In December 2024, in the thread "Re: BRK: Why Not XOM?", BreckHutHigh asked the members: "What about the long road trips with kids?" This week it is put to everyone again. The button below opens the small thread re-asking it - read what others have said so far, then give your own answer as an ordinary reply.
Answer this questionContinue to Shrewd'mThis note won't appear again
Investment Strategies / Falling Knives
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (4) |
Author: mungofitch 🐝🐝🐝 GOLD
SHREWD
  😊 😞

Number: of 1166 
Subject: Re: Diageo
Date: 10/08/25 3:16 PM
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
No. of Recommendations: 7
FYI, the international booze companies were mentioned a couple of times on the Non-US Stocks board.
e.g., first couple of posts in this thread started in April
mungofitch writes on Booze

Price of Diageo is down since then. Currently 1793 pence.

Note that the dividend has been cut. That may be one factor in the weak recent price.
At the prior dividend level (a pound a year), the yield on today's price would be 5.6%.

Perhaps the most interesting thing in that thread is the article I found about how reports of the permanent death of alcohol consumption, like Mark Twain's, might be exaggerated.
"...survey of more than 26,000 people across the 15 largest alcoholic drinks markets found 73 per cent of Gen Z respondents — people of legal drinking age to 27 — had consumed alcohol in the previous six months, compared with 66 per cent two years ago. That was the biggest increase of any generation..."

Though current trailing P/E is around 18, I think that the multiple of cyclically adjusted earnings might be more like 9-12. That is optimistically assuming that the current weakness is ultimately transient, so normalized earnings in the 1.50 - 2.00 range as was the case all of 2021-2024, not all of which was the pandemic pop.

Jim
Post New | Post Reply | Report Post | Recommend It!
Print the post
Members reply directly to mungofitch here — and replies get answered. Reading is free; so is joining the conversation. Join Shrewd'm »
This community has written 1,155 posts about Falling Knives. The article-length ones it recommended most:
FKA: DG · 25 recs · 2023
MTD – A Masterclass in Un-Swiss Capital Allocation · 17 recs · 2026
Alpha Metallurgical Resources (AMR) · 15 recs · 2026
Coloplast (CLPBY) · 12 recs · 2026
TSLA · 12 recs · 2025
Unthreaded | Threaded | Whole Thread (4) |


Announcements
Falling Knives FAQ
Contact Shrewd'm
Contact the developer of these message boards.

Best Of FK | Best Of | Favourites & Replies | All Boards | Followed Shrewds | Open Questions | Moving a community