No. of Recommendations: 4
Name SP500 R1000EW R1000 R2000 Transportation Retail Regional Bank BioTech SemiConductor
Symbol: (daily) SPY EQAL IWB IWM IYT XRT KRE IBB SMH
As of (LastD) 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24 31-Dec-24
Signal_Status* Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish Bullish BEARish Bullish
Signal_ChgD 09-Nov-23 05-Dec-23 16-Nov-23 12-Jul-24 21-Aug-24 19-Sep-24 07-May-24 18-Nov-24 27-Sep-24
Since_ChgD 418 392 411 172 132 103 238 43 95
Confirmed Yes Not Yet Yes Not Yet Not Yet Yes Not Yet Yes Not Yet
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Status_MAC(50) Support Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Support Resistance Resistance Resistance
ROC(50-DMA) 5.7% 5.6% 6.3% 7.6% 6.9% 6.5% 15.5% -4.1% 3.1%
Status_MAC(200) Support Support Support Support Support Support Support Resistance Support
ROC(200-DMA) 22.5% 12.7% 22.1% 15.7% 8.3% 17.1% 20.4% 11.8% 51.2%
DMAC(50,200) 7.1% 6.3% 7.3% 7.4% 5.4% 4.6% 15.7% 0.0% 2.7%
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LastD_Price 586.08 48.30 322.16 220.96 67.57 79.59 60.35 132.21 242.17
50-DMA 592.82 49.88 326.21 230.12 71.16 80.00 63.40 139.49 247.58
200-DMA 553.72 46.93 303.89 214.36 67.54 76.51 54.80 139.48 241.14
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# Signals /Yr 0 0 0 2 4 2 2 3 2
# BuyD /Yr 252 252 252 237 206 248 225 204 241
# NeutralD /Yr 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
# SellD /Yr 0 0 0 15 46 4 27 48 11
% BuyD /Yr 100% 100% 100% 94% 82% 98% 89% 81% 96%
-- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- -- --
52wL(Daily) 467.28 42.52 257.46 189.48 61.35 68.22 45.75 124.64 164.99
52wH(Daily) 607.81 51.95 335.71 242.40 75.40 84.31 68.90 149.47 281.27
% Off_52wH 4% 8% 4% 10% 12% 6% 14% 13% 16%
LastD_52wH 06-Dec-24 29-Nov-24 06-Dec-24 25-Nov-24 25-Nov-24 11-Dec-24 25-Nov-24 19-Sep-24 10-Jul-24
SinceD_52wH 25 32 25 36 36 20 36 103 174
CountD_52wH 58 35 59 14 16 15 11 10 30
Modern Family: Symbol: Status:* ChgD Confirmed: Roles: (leading indicators that act as a guide for the stock market macro picture)
S&P 500 ETF SPY Bullish 418 Yes - major player U.S. index fund of 500 market cap-weighted companies
Russell 1000EW EQAL Bullish 392 Not Yet - gauge the health of 1000 equal-weighted companies within the U.S.
Russell 1000 IWB Bullish 411 Yes - gauge the health of 1000 Giant(45%), Large(32%) & Medium(20%) companies within the U.S.
Russell 2000 IWM Bullish 172 Not Yet - gauge the health of 2000 Small(55%) & Micro(43%) companies within the U.S.
Transportation IYT Bullish 132 Not Yet - measure Industry & Manufacture strength - supply and demand
Retail XRT Bullish 103 Yes - measure strength of economy and consumer confidence
Regional Banks KRE Bullish 238 Not Yet - measure the health of financial system in the U.S.
BioTech IBB BEARish 43 Yes - highly speculated: assesses where money is flowing
SemiConductor SMH Bullish 95 Not Yet - innovation: a major player technology trends
As of (LastD) 31-Dec-24 More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
The "Economic Modern Family" is a combination of three market index ETF's and five varying sectors & groups for "Market Analysis".
Trend indicators that give you an overall weekly gauge of how aggressive or not to be on the long or short side.
*My "Modern Family" signals(2) are not strictly identical to the (MarketGauge.com) "Phases Tutorial"(6).
Market Phases Rev 27-Sep-2024
"BEARish" - phase when Status_MAC(50) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(50-DMA) is Negative OR Status_MAC(200) is "RESISTANCE" while ROC(200-DMA) is Negative.
"Bullish" - phase when NOT "BEARish"
"Support" - is the level(floor) at which demand is strong enough to stop the stock from falling any further. (MAC positive 5d)
"Resistance" - is the level(ceiling) at which supply is strong enough to stop the stock from moving higher. (MAC negative 5d)
"Confirmed" - when Status_MAC(50) AND ROC(50-DMA) both agree with "Signal_Status" phase.
ROC(50-DMA) = 50*SLOPE(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507)/TREND(F$458:F$507,$A$458:$A$507,$A$458) Where F is 50-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
ROC(200-DMA) = 200*SLOPE(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507)/TREND(F$308:F$507,$A$308:$A$507,$A$308) Where F is 200-DMA and A is MktDay (ascending)
Criteria that Refute - Moving averages do well in trending markets but they generate many false signals in choppy, sideways markets.
Description - After a crossover is identified, it is considered "not yet confirmed". Then additional confirmation is sought by watching the slope of the moving average.
Source of Data - Price data for Symbols in Modern Family are exported from real time charts to .CSV files after market close.
CountD_52wH - FYI: Ten year average 52wH/Yr count for .SPx, MDY, & IJH was 34, 20 & 16 as of 27-Sep-2024.
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ARCHIVE
More Details: Posted end of month by mapg on the Mechanical Investing board (shrewdm.com)
Modern Family DEC-2024,
Modern Family NOV-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family EOM Nov-2024Modern Family OCT-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family 31-OCT-2024Modern Family SEP-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family Sep-2024Modern Family AUG-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family Aug-2024Modern Family JUL-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family July 2024Modern Family JUN-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family JUN-2024Modern Family MAY-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family 31-May-2024Modern Family APR-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family 03-May-2024Modern Family MAR-2024,
mapg writes on Trends and Ranks 28-Mar-2024Modern Family FEB-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family 01-Mar-24Modern Family JAN-2024,
mapg writes on Modern Family 2-Feb-2024Modern Family DEC-2023,
mapg writes on Modern Family 5-Jan-2024GD_
